“Lull Before The Storm” – Will China Bring An Energy-Debt Crisis?

"Lull Before The Storm" – Will China Bring An Energy-Debt Crisis?
// Silver For The People

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Nov 9, 2017

Authored by Gail Tverberg via Our Finite World blog,

It is easy for those of us in the West to overlook how important China has become to the world economy, and also the limits it is reaching. The two big areas in which China seems to be reaching limits are energy production and debt. Reaching either of these limits could eventually cause a collapse.

China is reaching energy production limits in a way few would have imagined. As long as coal and oil prices were rising, it made sense to keep drilling. Once fuel prices started dropping in 2014, it made sense to close unprofitable coal mines and oil wells. The thing that is striking is that the drop in prices corresponds to a slowdown in the wage growth of Chinese urban workers. Perhaps rapidly rising Chinese wages have been playing a significant role in maintaining high world "demand" (and thus prices) for energy products. Low Chinese wage growth thus seems to depress energy prices.


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