05/12/17

This Time Is Different, It Just Ends The Same



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This Time Is Different, It Just Ends The Same
// Silver For The People

zerohedge.com / by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com / Dec 4, 2017 11:26 AM

This past weekend, I was in Florida with Chris Martenson and Nomi Prins discussing the current backdrop of the markets, economic cycles, and future outcomes. A bulk of the conversations centered around the current "everything bubble" that currently exists globally. Elevated valuations in stock prices, extremely low yields between in "junk bonds," or intense speculation around "cryptocurrencies" all suggest we have entered once again into "bubble" territory."

Let me state this:

"Market bubbles have NOTHING to do with valuations or fundamentals."

Hold on…don't start screaming "heretic" and building gallows just yet. Let me explain.

Stock market bubbles are driven by speculation, greed, and emotional biases – therefore valuations and fundamentals are simply a reflection of those emotions.

In other words, bubbles can exist even at times when valuations and fundamentals might argue otherwise. Let me show you a very basic example of what I mean. The chart below is the long-term valuation of the S&P 500 going back to 1871.

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