21/12/18

Legend Connected In China At The Highest Levels Says Gold Will Spike To $2,200

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Legend Connected In China At The Highest Levels Says Gold Will Spike To $2,200
// King World News

Today a legend who is connected in China at the highest levels predicted the price of gold is going to spike to $2,200.

The post Legend Connected In China At The Highest Levels Says Gold Will Spike To $2,200 appeared first on King World News.


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Is The US Dollar On The Verge Of A Major Currency Crisis?

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Is The US Dollar On The Verge Of A Major Currency Crisis?
// RSS

Authored by Tom Lewis via GoldTelegraph.com,

According to the founder of the world's largest hedge fund, the US dollar could soon fall as much as 30% which could leave it looking like the Turkish Lira. The chairman of Bridgewater Associates, Ray Dalio has warned that the US economy is on the verge of a major currency crisis due to the unaffordable buildup of debt.

Dalio warned recently in an interview through Bloomberg that the US might have to go through a similar type of inflationary debt crisis which is currently being suffered by emerging market economies like Argentina and Turkey.

Triple-digit inflation has taken .....

Wall Street al Natale nella tempesta, FAANG lanciano mayday

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Wall Street al Natale nella tempesta, FAANG lanciano mayday
// Trend Online

Dow Jones: Nike fuori dal coro, giù Walgreens e Goldman Sachs. Nyse, luce verde su CarMax grazie a trimestrale con utili oltre le attese. Nasdaq, FAANG in caduta libera. I titoli ed i temi caldi sulla piazza azionaria di Wall Street.

Chiusura d'ottava da brividi per la piazza azionaria di Wall Street che ha infilato un'altra seduta rosso sangue. A conclusione della giornata di scambi, infatti, il Nasdaq Composite è crollato del 2,99% a 6.332,99 punti. Malissimo, al suono della campanella di chiusura, pure il Dow Jones, -1,81% a 22.445,37 punti, e l'ampio indice S&P 500, -2,06% a 2.416,58 punti. Pesante anche l'indice delle medie capitalizzazioni Russell 2000 che ha ....

USA: La lettera bomba del dimissionario James Mattis

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"Panic In The Air" - Stunned Traders Speechless At The Carnage

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"Panic In The Air" - Stunned Traders Speechless At The Carnage
// RSS

CNN's Fear & Greed Index just hit 5... an all-time record low (most extreme fear)...

And the following provides a simple analogy for what happens when one market snaps...

Tough week in China...

European stocks had an ugly week...

And, if this holds up next week, will be the worst year for EU stocks since 2008...

But since the trade war truce, US equities have dramatically underperformed...

It was a total shitshow in US equities - Dow, S&P, Trannies down around 6% on the week, and Nasdaq and Small Caps down a shocking 8% or so...

Not decoupled from the rest of the world after all...

 

Worst week for Dow, Nasdaq since Oct 2008 (5th week lower in last 6)

  • Worst week for S&P since Aug 2011 (5th week lower in last 6)

Just 300 more points lower in the S&P to catch down to financial conditions fair value...

  • Worst week for Russell 2000 since Sept 2011 (5th week lower in last 6)

From the 52-week highs:

  • Dow -16%

  • S&P -17%

  • Nasdaq 100 -21% - BEAR

  • Nasdaq Composite -22% - BEAR

  • Trannies -23.6% - BEAR

  • Small Caps -26% - BEAR

First it was the Russell 2000. Then the Nasdaq Composite. Today it's the Nasdaq-100 that crossed a bear-market threshold by retreating 20% from a peak. The index's record was set Aug. 29, the same day as the broader Nasdaq index.

Why today? Blame the FAANG stocks. Facebook, Amazon.com, Apple, Netflix and Google/Alphabet together account for more than two-thirds of the Nasdaq-100's loss.

 

Since The Fed, Gold, the dollar, and the long-bond are all up around 0.5%, while stocks collapsed around 6%...

 

Year-to-Date it's carnage with Trannies and Small Caps down 16%, Dow and S&P down 10%, and Nasdaq Composite down 8%!!

 

On the day, we can see where Fed's Williams tried desperately to jawbone markets higher - but ended up admitting that the balance sheet runoff is on auto-pilot...

and then Navarro comments into the bell did not help...

Bank stocks were a bloodbath - with Regionals have dumped the entire Trump Bump...

 

Goldman Sachs was a disaster - down over 5% today alone (down 42% from highs)...

 

VIX term structure remains inverted and spot VIX topped 31 for the first time since Feb today...

 

Under the covers, there are some extremes:

Put/Call (Open Interest) has collapsed...

 

Nasdaq/NYSE New Lows is soaring...

Which, as Bloomberg reports, is ominous at best.  Since 1984, there were only eight days when a bigger proportion of shares did so, according to Sundial Capital Research. Two of them were in 1987 -- during the famous Black Monday crash, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 23 percent in one day, and then again during the following session. The rest were in the aftermath of the collapse of Lehman Brothers in October and November 2008.

"There are more than hints of panic in the air," Jason Goepfert, president of Sundial Capital Research, wrote in a note Thursday.

"There is clear evidence of wholesale selling on a level we rarely see."

And finally, the regime has changed dramatically with a mass exodus of smart money flows...

None of this was helped the largest market cap company in the world suffering a death cross...

 

Credit markets were a bloodbath this week with loans collapsing bidless...

And HY spreads exploding...

 

Bonds & Stocks were dumped the last two days...

 

Treasury yields ended the week notably lower (though not as much as one would expect given the carnage in stocks, since we suspect some forced selling by Risk-Parity funds took some of the buying away)...

 

10Y Yields closed below the key 2.80% level...

 

And if cyclical stocks (relative to defensives) are right, Treasury yields have a long way to fall...

 

The Dollar Index slipped on the week, but the last three days (post Powell) have been chaotic...

 

Cryptos drifted lower today but had a huge week...Bitcoin's best week since Feb

 

Gold and Silver managed gains on the week but copper and even more so crude were clubbed like baby seals...

 

Gold pushed up to its 200DMA...

 

Silver underperformed gold...

 

WTI Crude tumbled to a $45 handle today...

*  *  *

Finally, we note the surge in USA Sovereign credit risk as the government heads for shutdown (and debt ceiling debacles)...

On the macro side, things are not awesome...

But it's not just the sovereign that is in trouble...

Still... the worst December since The Great Depression - probably nothing, right?

Actually, there are over $17 trillion reasons to worry!!

Who could have seen that coming?


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Deutsche Bank ai minimi storici - I Diavoli

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http://www.idiavoli.com/banche/deutsche-bank-ai-minimi-storici-2/

Time Is Running Out: Govt Shutdown Will Last “A Very Long Time” If Dems Vote ‘No’ On The Wall

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Time Is Running Out: Govt Shutdown Will Last "A Very Long Time" If Dems Vote 'No' On The Wall
// Silver Doctors

The House passed a spending bill with funding for the Wall. The ball is in the Senate's court now, and the clock is ticking down. Here's an update… from Zero �…�

The post Time Is Running Out: Govt Shutdown Will Last "A Very Long Time" If Dems Vote 'No' On The Wall appeared first on Silver Doctors.


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Is The Federal Reserve Actually TRYING To Cause A Stock Market Crash?

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Is The Federal Reserve Actually TRYING To Cause A Stock Market Crash?
// dcclothesline.com/feed


The Federal Reserve has decided not to come to the rescue this time.  All of the economic numbers tell us that the economy is slowing [...]
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Deutsche Bank sotto quota 7

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Deutsche Bank sotto quota 7
// Argento MetaFisico

Mi fa morir dal ridere Chiccucchio Mentana quando finisce il suo tg, le sue notizie, con il classico "ma vediamo le borse: Dow piu' zero virgola, Nasdaq meno zero virgola.. non ci sono altre notizie". Mai una volta una che lo abbia sentito fare un minimo di analisi dei numeri che da, mai una volta che lo abbia visto inquadrarli in un quadro generale o mostrare un grafico di medio o lungo periodo, mai che lo abbia sentito fare un fiato su come i mercati possono (sono) drogati dai QE di tutto l'occidente e non solo. 

Eppoi lo SPREAD! Oddio santo, lo Spread! "Vediamo lo spread oggi.. sfonda quota 280! E bla bla bla" ... 

Di Deutsche Bank NIENTE, ZERO, NADA. Mai un fiato. No problem, niente da vedere qui, circolare, circolare. 

Che pagliacci. Ora parlavo di lui ma e' lo stesso per un po' tutti i "seri" tg italici, da Rai3 a SkyPD24.

Intanto ... intanto DB continua a crollare. Nel silenzio dei media "seri", quelli che ci tengono informati e ci proteggono dalle fake news (e daje a ride a crepapelle).

Adesso ha appena sfondato anche quota 7 euro ad azione .. 6,83... 


https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/dbk/charts?countrycode=xe

Questo screenshot l'avevo fatto la settimana scorsa. A gennajo DB stava ancora a quasi 16 euro ad azione. Si e' vista ....

BOOM: forse ora lo avete capito che non era uno starnuto

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BOOM: forse ora lo avete capito che non era uno starnuto
// IntermarketAndMore

Grafico SP500 che ormai non lascia spazio a dubbi. Movimento correttivo di grande importanza, e primo target ribassista importante raggiunto. Con estrema amarezza, mi verrebbe da dire "lo avevamo detto", ma lodarsi su quanto è accaduto non è certo piacevole, … Continua a leggere
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Cartolina: Vendesi America disperatamente

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Cartolina: Vendesi America disperatamente
// The Walking Debt

E così, sul finire del 2018, complice la Fed che ha smesso di comprarne, ma anche i capitali esteri che cercano fortuna altrove, il Treasury Usa ha perso d'appeal. Alcuni volenterosi hanno calcolato che la Fed abbia fatto dimagrire di un robusto 5% la sua quota di titoli del Tesoro Usa sul totale delle proprie … Continue reading "Cartolina: Vendesi America disperatamente"
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Commissariati A Nostra Insaputa

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Commissariati A Nostra Insaputa
// Blondet & Friends

"In Italia le cose vanno selvaggiamente"

">https://youtu.be/1EINtGwwSgg

L'articolo COMMISSARIATI A NOSTRA INSAPUTA proviene da Blondet & Friends.


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